基于风险的方法来管理水力压裂引起的地震性
Ryan Schultz1, Gregory C Beroza2, William L Ellsworth2
1Department of Geophysics, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA. rjs10@stanford.edu.
概括
有效管理地震风险至关重要. 这项研究提出了在空间上可变的红光值,为水力压裂提供了比单个值更公平,更安全的方法来管理地震事件.
科学领域:
- 地质学和地震学
- 能源和环境科学
背景情况:
- 由于水力压裂引起的地震, 造成了重大风险.
- 需要有效的管理策略来减轻地震危险.
研究的目的:
- 制定一个基于风险的策略,以设定"红灯"的水力压裂门.
- 创建不同的空间值来解释不同的影响.
主要方法:
- 使用数据集的组合来模拟空间异质的干扰和损害影响.
- 在模拟冲击中开发出空间变化的红光值 (时刻大小[M_w]2.0至5.0).
主要成果:
- 由人口密度驱动的模拟影响在东北部更大,在西南部更小.
- 空间上不同的门被认为比单一的,广泛的门更公平,更安全.
- 在敏感性测试中,预测最大值是最有影响力的参数.
结论:
- 拟议的基于风险的战略为交通灯协议提供了指导方针,以管理诱导的地震风险.
- 不同空间的值为管理与水力压裂相关的地震风险提供了更公平,更安全的方法.
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