实现净负碳经济
Johannes Bednar1,2, Michael Obersteiner3,4, Artem Baklanov3,5
1International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, Austria. bednar@iiasa.ac.at.
Nature
|July 8, 2021
概括
世界必须为净负排放做好准备, 新的经济工具,如碳排放义务 (CRO),可以为这一转型提供资金,并激励早期脱碳.
科学领域:
- 气候科学
- 环境经济学
- 政策分析
背景情况:
- 对于1.5°C的全球变暖, 剩余的碳预算几乎已经耗尽.
- 未来的负净排放是为了补偿累计的碳负债.
- 目前经济政策的二氧化碳去除 (CDR) 工具不足.
研究的目的:
- 提出跨时代经济工具,为净负碳经济提供资金.
- 研究基于市场的方法来激励碳债务偿还.
- 建立广泛应用的碳税和排放交易体系的基础.
主要方法:
- 通过使用"碳清除义务" (CRO) 进行了理想化的市场方法.
- 通过碳债务的利息来定价大气二氧化碳储存的财务影响.
- 分析了CRO对近期脱碳和CDR部署的影响.
主要成果:
- 拟议的CRO将使排放者负责净二氧化碳的去除.
- 纳入碳债务的利息支付,以应对违约风险和碳储存价格.
- 发现CRO激励了更雄心勃勃的短期脱碳以及更早,更少的CDR部署.
结论:
- CRO可以为碳税和排放交易系统提供基础,以资助净负碳经济.
- 对CRO的利息支付刺激了更快的脱碳,并优化了CDR的部署时间.
- 为了实现雄心勃勃的气候目标和确保减缓努力的代际公平,CRO是必不可少的.
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