养活各国的水生食物
Christopher D Golden1,2,3, J Zachary Koehn4, Alon Shepon5,6,7
1Department of Nutrition, Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA. golden@hsph.harvard.edu.
Nature
|September 16, 2021
概括
增加水生动物来源食品 (AASF) 的生产可以显著改善全球营养. 预计高产场景将降低AASF价格,增加消费,并防止数百万微量营养素的缺乏.
科学领域:
- 营养科学
- 粮食系统分析
- 水产养殖研究
背景情况:
- 常常低估水生食物的价值,
- 全球粮食系统面临着解决数十亿人营养不良和粮食不安全的挑战.
- 水产养殖是提高水产食品供应的关键创新领域.
研究的目的:
- 通过结合陆地和多样化的水生食物来源,模拟水生食物对人类营养的未来影响.
- 预测到2030年水生动物来源食品 (AASF) 生产的两个场景:基线和高产场景.
- 评估与AASF消费变化相关的健康影响和营养脆弱性.
主要方法:
- 开发了一种整合性模型,将陆地食物与近3000种水生食物分类组合在一起.
- 预计到2030年AASF生产的两种未来情景,包括水产养殖产量增加的高产量情景.
- 分析了AASF消费,价格和估计健康结果的变化,包括微量营养素摄入量和与饮食有关的疾病.
主要成果:
- 如果AASF产量高,价格可能会下降26%,全球消费量也会增加.
- 增加AASF的消费与减少红肉和加工肉类的摄入量有关,这可能会降低非传染性疾病的风险.
- 预计高产量方案可以防止大约1.66亿个微量营养素摄入不足的情况.
结论:
- 扩大水产食品生产,特别是通过水产养殖,为提高全球营养提供了重要机会.
- 政策制定者和利益相关者可以利用水生食物来打击粮食和营养不安全以及各种形式的营养不良.
- 将各种水生食物纳入饮食模式对于了解它们的全部营养潜力至关重要.
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