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在气候变化下表面温度持续性的广泛变化
Jingyuan Li1, David W J Thompson2,3
1Department of Atmospheric Science, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO, USA.
Nature
|November 18, 2021
概括
气候变化显著改变了表面温度的持久性,影响了天气事件的持续时间. 了解这些变化对生态系统和社会至关重要.
科学领域:
- 气候科学
- 大气科学
- 环境科学
背景情况:
- 全球气候变化正在导致表面温度模式的广泛变化,包括平均升高和区域差异变化.
- 气候事件对生态系统和社会的影响严重依赖于它们的持续时间,因此温度持久性是一个关键因素.
研究的目的:
- 调查表面温度持续性如何在整个21世纪因气候变化而发生变化.
- 分析这些温度持续变化的强度和物理驱动因素.
主要方法:
- 在四个不同的地球系统模型中利用了150个模拟的输出.
- 包含来自简化模型的模拟,具有多种辐射过程和大规模动态.
主要成果:
- 气候变化模拟显示了表面温度持续性的广泛变化.
- 这些变化在海洋地区最为明显和强烈.
- 一系列的物理过程似乎推动了这种持续性的变化.
结论:
- 在气候变化下表面温度的普遍变化是强大的.
- 需要更好地理解,模拟和约束这些持续性变化.
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