新的土地使用变化排放表明空气中的二氧化碳分数正在下降
Margreet J E van Marle1,2, Dave van Wees1, Richard A Houghton3
1Department of Earth Sciences, Faculty of Science, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Nature
|March 17, 2022
概括
空气中的二氧化碳 (CO2) 排放量有所减少, 这一发现挑战了先前关于土地利用变化的稳定排放及其对大气二氧化碳水平的影响的假设.
科学领域:
- 地球和环境科学
- 气候科学
- 大气化学
背景情况:
- 大约50%的人为二氧化碳 (CO2) 排放被陆地和海洋的沉所吸收.
- 由于海洋变暖或永久土融化等因素,
- 估计碳汇效率的变化依赖于分析空气中的碳分量的趋势,但仍存在不确定性,特别是关于土地利用和土地覆盖变化 (LULCC).
研究的目的:
- 建立一个长期,一致的LULCC排放数据集.
- 重新评估大气中的二氧化碳空气分量的趋势.
- 评估陆地和海洋碳汇的综合能力,以应对人为排放.
主要方法:
- 开发了一个LULCC排放数据集,使用森林砍伐区域的可见度数据作为火灾排放的代理.
- 使用可见度观察来推断长期的LULCC相关排放.
- 使用新建的LULCC排放数据集分析了空气中二氧化碳分量的趋势.
主要成果:
- 热带森林砍伐的排放量自1958年以来显著增加 (0.
- 与之前的稳定排放假设相反,LULCC的排放量大幅增加.
- 自1959年以来,空气中的二氧化碳分量减少了0.014±0.010个十年.
结论:
- 陆地和海洋的碳排放量已经显示出与人为排放量同步增长的能力.
- 由于碳吸收增加,LULCC排放的增长趋势得到了有效的抵消.
- 这项研究表明,碳汇系统比之前估计的更有弹性,影响气候变化预测.
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