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相关概念视频

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Global Climate Change

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Throughout its ~4.5 billion year history, the Earth has experienced periods of warming and cooling. However, the current drastic increase in global temperatures is well outside of the Earth’s cyclic norms, and evidence for human-caused global climate change is compelling. Paleoclimatology, the study of ancient climate conditions, provides ample evidence for human-caused global climate change by comparing recent conditions with those in the past.
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Climate refers to the prevailing weather conditions in a specific area over an extended period. As the saying goes, “Climate is what you expect. Weather is what you get.” Climate is influenced by geographic factors, such as latitude, terrain, and proximity to bodies of water.
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There have been five major extinction events throughout geological history, resulting in the elimination of biodiversity, followed by a rebound of species that adapted to the new conditions. In the current geological epoch, the Holocene, there is a sixth extinction event in progress. This mass extinction has been attributed to human activities and is thus provisionally called the Anthropocene. In 2019 the human population reached 7.7 billion people and is projected to comprise 10 billion by...
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超过1.5°C的全球变暖可能引发多个气候转折点

David I Armstrong McKay1,2,3,4, Arie Staal1,2,5, Jesse F Abrams3

  • 1Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden.

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此摘要是机器生成的。

随着气候变暖,地球系统的临界点越来越接近. 迫切需要减缓气候变化,以避免这些自我延续的变化造成严重影响.

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科学领域:

  • 气候科学
  • 地球系统科学
  • 古气候学

背景情况:

  • 气候转折点代表了一些关键的值,在这些值中,小小的干扰会引发自我延续的,相当大的地球系统影响.
  • 目前全球气候变暖比工业化前水平高约1.1°C,正在接近一些临界点的下限.

研究的目的:

  • 提供全球和区域气候倾斜因素及其相关温度值的修订综合.
  • 评估在不同的全球变暖情景下触发转折点的风险,包括"巴黎协定"范围和当前政策轨迹.

主要方法:

  • 综合了古气候记录中的发现.
  • 整合来自观察气候研究的数据.
  • 使用基于气候模型的研究.

主要成果:

  • 一个经过修订的全球"核心"和区域"影响"倾斜元素清单已经确定.
  • 在"巴黎协定"规定的1.5°C至2°C升温范围内,可能会出现几个临界点.
  • 许多临界点可能会在2°C至3°C升温时被激活,这与当前的政策预测一致.

结论:

  • 加强了应对气候变化的证据基础.
  • 改善风险评估,早期预警系统和适应转折点的战略至关重要.