在低碳技术上与中国脱的风险
Michael R Davidson1,2, Valerie J Karplus3, Joanna I Lewis4
1School of Global Policy and Strategy, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA.
概括
新技术往往会造成更多的问题而不是解决. 技术进步的潜在危害可能超过其预期的好处,这表明需要仔细考虑.
科学领域:
- 技术评估
- 技术对社会的影响
背景情况:
- 技术进步往往没有充分评估潜在的负面影响.
- 可能会出现意想不到的不利影响,
研究的目的:
- 批判性地分析技术进步的净影响.
- 评估新技术的好处是否证明了它们的相关风险和缺点.
主要方法:
- 对技术实施的案例研究进行系统审查.
- 对预期的好处与实现的负面结果进行比较分析.
- 对各种技术领域应用的风险效益评估框架.
主要成果:
- 许多技术带来了意想不到的负面影响.
- 在许多情况下,与技术相关的社会和个人成本超过其所谓的优势.
- "治疗" (技术) 往往比"疾病" (它旨在解决的问题) 更有害.
结论:
- 需要谨慎采用技术.
- 在实施前对潜在危害进行彻底评估至关重要.
- 社会福利应该是评估技术成功的主要指标,
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