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北极海洋每年的高温可能会从冬季转变为夏季
James C Orr1, Lester Kwiatkowski2, Hans-Otto Pörtner3
1LSCE-IPSL, Laboratoire des Science du Climat et de l'Environnement, CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, CEA Saclay, Gif-sur-Yvette, France. james.orr@lsce.ipsl.fr.
Nature
|October 5, 2022
概括
海洋酸化
科学领域:
- 海洋生物学
- 气候科学
- 海洋学
背景情况:
- 大气中的二氧化碳 (CO2) 的上升会季节性地改变海洋的二氧化碳部分压力 (pCO2).
- 海洋pCO2的季节性时间受二氧化碳水平和其他因素的影响.
- 北极海洋的pCO2通常在冬季高,夏季低.
研究的目的:
- 研究海洋酸化季节的变化如何影响海洋生物.
- 在不同的二氧化碳排放场景下,预测北极海的pCO2季节性变化.
- 分析季节性变化对夏季极端酸化事件的影响.
主要方法:
- 利用27个地球系统模型来模拟北极海洋的历史和未来条件.
- 分析了季节性pCO2趋势的预测变化.
- 量化了海面变暖和海冰退缩对pCO2季节性的影响.
主要成果:
- 模型预测北极海的pCO2季节性会发生变化,在未来的二氧化碳情景下,夏季的低点会变成高点.
- 这种季节性时间逆转主要是由于早期海冰融化而导致夏季海面变暖的增加.
- 由于这些季节性变化,夏季极端酸化预计将增加29%.
结论:
- 海洋酸化的季节性变化加剧了北极地区的夏季状况.
- 这种日益严重的夏季酸化可能会降低北极海洋生物对夏季气温上升的抵抗力.
- 未来的气候变化将显著改变季节性海洋酸化模式,并带来生态后果.
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