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西南极洲的季节性温度
Tyler R Jones1, Kurt M Cuffey2, William H G Roberts3
1Institute of Arctic and Alpine Research, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO, USA. tyler.jones@colorado.edu.
Nature
|January 11, 2023
概括
这项研究使用冰核数据揭示了西南极的温度变化超过11000年. 夏季的升温在4100年前达到顶峰, 原因是夏季的阳光照射, 而不是季节的持续时间.
科学领域:
- 古气候学
- 冰川学
- 气候科学
背景情况:
- 由于自然平滑和测量限制,具有季节性分辨率的长期气候记录很少.
- 阳光强迫是气候变化的关键驱动力,通过季节性变化运作.
- 评估季节性气候对阳光照射的长期敏感性对于验证气候模型至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 在过去的11000年中重建西南极洲的夏季和冬季温度.
- 调查季节性阳光变化和温度变化之间的关系.
- 为了限制西南极冰盖表面的变化.
主要方法:
- 来自西南极冰盖分裂冰芯的连续水同位素比率记录的分析.
- 古气候数据与气候模型模拟的比较.
- 使用冰芯数据推断温度变化和冰盖表面的高度.
主要成果:
- 西南极夏季气温在全新世纪初至中期上升,在4100年前达到峰值,随后下降.
- 这些夏季温度变化与夏季最大阳光强度的变化密切相关.
- 冬季的温度变化较小,但在早期的全新世纪波动,可能是由于变化的热传输. 冰盖表面的下降限制在162米以下,可能是58米以下.
结论:
- 季节性阳光照射强度,而不是持续时间或整合值,是西南极洲全新纪夏季变暖的主要驱动因素.
- 这些发现证实了对季节性气候的阳光强迫在长时间内理论预测.
- 这项研究为西南极冰盖的长期稳定性和海拔变化提供了关键限制.
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