格陵兰中北部的现代气温是上千年来最温暖的
M Hörhold1, T Münch2, S Weißbach3
1Alfred-Wegener-Institut, Helmholtz-Zentrum für Polar- und Meeresforschung, Bremerhaven, Germany. maria.hoerhold@awi.de.
Nature
|January 18, 2023
概括
格陵兰岛
科学领域:
- 气候科学
- 冰川学
- 古气候学
背景情况:
- 格陵兰冰盖对全球气候系统至关重要.
- 观察到沿海地区的变暖,但由于长期数据有限,中央冰盖的变暖仍不清楚.
- 现有的冰核重建缺乏识别全球变暖信号的分辨率和最新数据.
研究的目的:
- 创建1000年至2011年格陵兰中部和北部的高分辨率温度重建.
- 确定格陵兰中部最近的变暖是否超过了工业化前的自然变化.
- 调查全球变暖对格陵兰冰盖中部地区的影响.
主要方法:
- 系统地重新钻探冰芯以获得高质量的样本.
- 覆盖过去千年 (公元1000年至2011年) 的温度重建的开发.
- 统计分析以比较最近的温度与工业化前的变化,并确定趋势.
主要成果:
- 重建的最近十年显示,气候变暖高于过去千年的变化 (P < 0.001).
- 最近的气温比20世纪的平均值高1.5±0.4°C.
- 特别的变暖是由于自公元1800年以来的长期变暖趋势的自然变化.
结论:
- 人类造成的影响已经到达格陵兰中部和北部,
- 这种变暖与融水流量增加有关, 可能加快格陵兰的总体质量损失.
- 这些发现凸显了格陵兰冰盖对持续气候变化的脆弱性.
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