严重的多年干旱与公元前1198-1196年左右的赫特人崩一致
Sturt W Manning1,2, Cindy Kocik3, Brita Lorentzen4,5
1Cornell Tree-Ring Laboratory, Department of Classics and Cornell Institute of Archaeology and Material Studies, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY, USA. sm456@cornell.edu.
Nature
|February 9, 2023
概括
气候变化对古代文明产生了重大影响. 在公元前1198年左右,一个严重的多年干旱可能导致赫特人帝国
科学领域:
- 古气候学和考古学
- 古近东研究
- 气候变化对文明的影响
背景情况:
- 气候变化对人类历史构成重大威胁,
- 过去的文明面临着气候变化, 但气候事件与社会崩之间的准确联系往往是缺失的.
- 希特人帝国是一个主要的古国, 集中在一个脆弱的半旱地区.
研究的目的:
- 调查确切的气候条件及其与公元前1200年左右赫特帝国的崩的相关性.
- 了解极端气候事件如何压倒社会适应和性.
主要方法:
- 分析高分辨率的干燥记录,使用来自安纳托利亚当代树的树环宽度和稳定同位素数据.
- 古气候数据与赫特帝国的考古和历史时间线的相关性.
主要成果:
- 在大约公元前1198年至公元前1196年 (±3年) 的时间里,在安纳托利亚中部出现了非常严重和持续的干旱时期.
- 这种严重的干旱事件被认为是赫特文明的潜在转折点.
- 这些发现表明连续发生的极端气候事件可能会超过即使是有弹性的社会的适应能力.
结论:
- 公元前1198年左右的严重多年干旱是赫特帝国崩的关键因素.
- 这项研究凸显了古代社会对气候急剧变化的脆弱性.
- 了解过去的气候与社会相互作用对于评估未来的气候变化风险至关重要.
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