北半球热带循环的人为导致的减弱
1Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Weizmann Institute of Science, Rehovot, Israel. rei.chemke@weizmann.ac.il.
Nature
|April 17, 2023
概括
由于人类的排放, 哈德利循环对于热带热量传输至关重要. 这一发现得到了海平面压力数据的证实,影响了气候变化预测和热带和亚热带天气模式.
科学领域:
- 大气科学
- 气候变化
- 热带气象学
背景情况:
- 哈德利循环对于热带地区的热量和湿度传输至关重要,影响低度降雨和温度.
- 准确评估哈德利循环对人为排放的反应对于理解人为气候变化至关重要.
- 目前的研究显示,最近的哈德利循环变化存在显著的不确定性,气候模型和大气再分析之间存在矛盾.
研究的目的:
- 为了限制最近的哈德利循环变化.
- 确定人为排放对哈德利循环的影响.
- 提高对人类造成的热带气候变化预测的信心.
主要方法:
- 使用海平面压力测量来限制最近的哈德利循环变化.
- 与最新的气候模型进行比较.
- 归因于人为排放的循环变化.
主要成果:
- 哈德利的血液循环在最近几十年里已经大大减弱.
- 这种减弱与最新的气候模型模拟相一致.
- 观察到的减弱是由于人为排放.
结论:
- 人类引起的排放正在导致哈德利循环的减弱.
- 这一发现增加了对热带地区气候变化预测的信心.
- 人类造成的哈德利循环减弱对区域热带和亚热带气候模式有重大影响.
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