从人类管理中释放全球森林:可以储存多少碳?
Caspar T J Roebroek1,2, Gregory Duveiller3, Sonia I Seneviratne2
1European Commission, Joint Research Centre (JRC), Ispra, Italy.
概括
保护森林免受人类干预可以大大提高碳储量, 增加森林生物质量高达16%. 然而,单靠这一战略,在不减少碳排放的情况下抵消当前碳排放的潜力有限.
科学领域:
- 环境科学
- 森林管理
- 气候变化研究
背景情况:
- 森林碳储存对于旨在将全球变暖限制在1.5°C的减缓政策至关重要.
- 森林管理实践 (如采伐) 对森林碳预算的确切全球影响尚不清楚.
研究的目的:
- 通过消除人类干预来量化森林地表生物质碳储量的潜在增加.
- 评估加强森林碳捕获的减缓潜力.
主要方法:
- 全球森林生物质和管理数据的整合.
- 机器学习技术的应用,以建模地面生物质的变化.
主要成果:
- 消除人类干预可以使全球森林的地表生物量增加44.1碳 (增加15-16%).
- 这种潜在的增加相当于大约4年的当前人为二氧化碳 (CO2) 排放量.
结论:
- 保护森林碳汇对于抵消剩余排放至关重要.
- 仅仅依靠增加的森林封存而没有减少排放, 提供了有限的气候缓解潜力.
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