人口结构因素是否会影响环境? 来自中东和北非国家的实证证据
Ilham Haouas1, Muhammad Haseeb2, Muhammad Azam3
1College of Business, Abu Dhabi University, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates.
概括
中东和北非国家的经济增长和人口变化显著增加二氧化碳 (CO2) 排放. 政策制定者必须解决城市化问题.
科学领域:
- 环境经济学环境经济学
- 可持续发展研究 可持续发展研究
- 人口学分析 人口学分析
背景情况:
- 各国努力实现可持续发展和加强国家生产.
- 环境恶化,特别是二氧化碳排放,是一个关键问题.
- 了解排放的驱动因素对于中东和北非国家至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 研究二氧化碳排放与人口因素 (总人口,人口密度,城市人口) 之间的长期关系.
- 分析能源使用,人均收入,能源强度和工业附加值对中东北非地区二氧化碳排放的影响.
- 探索人口变化和环境退化之间的因果关系.
主要方法:
- 使用通用时刻方法 (GMM) 进行可靠的估计.
- 采用完全修改的普通最小平方 (FMOLS) 和强大的最小平方估计器.
- 应用面板格兰杰因果关系技术来确定关系的方向.
主要成果:
- 证实了二氧化碳排放,人口因素和经济变量之间的长期协同整合.
- 发现了能源使用,人均收入,能源强度,工业附加值,人口密度,总人口和城市人口对二氧化碳排放的积极影响.
- 确定了人口密度,总人口,城市人口和二氧化碳排放之间的双向因果关系.
结论:
- 人口变化和经济活动是中东和北非地区二氧化碳排放的重要驱动因素.
- 政策干预应考虑城市化和工业化的环境影响.
- 需要综合战略来平衡经济发展与环境可持续性.
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