了解个人经验和情境变量在塑造风险降低偏好方面的作用
Manuel Barrientos1, Felipe Vásquez-Lavin2, Constanza Rosales3
1Durham University Business School, Durham University, Mill Hill Lane, Durham, United Kingdom.
Vaccine
|May 31, 2023
概括
COVID-19风险降低偏好是由个人经历塑造的,例如疾病严重程度和就业变化. 这些个别因素影响公共卫生政策评估,突出了针对风险沟通策略的需求.
科学领域:
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 行为经济学是一种行为经济学.
- 卫生政策 卫生政策
背景情况:
- 由于COVID-19的流行,需要了解公众的风险感知,以便制定有效的政策.
- 个人经验和背景因素对与健康相关的决策产生重大影响.
- 对降低风险的评估对于公共卫生政策至关重要,但可能会因个人情况而被扭曲.
研究的目的:
- 调查个人经验和情境变量如何影响COVID-19大流行期间的风险降低偏好.
- 分析不同国家关于降低风险属性的偏好异质性.
- 为制定更有效的公共卫生政策提供信息,以应对传染病爆发.
主要方法:
- 在智利,哥伦比亚和哥斯达黎加进行了选择实验 (CE).
- 属性包括降低风险,延迟和成本;个人变量是亲密度,严重程度,风险组,就业情况和疫苗接种状态.
- 使用混合逻辑模型来分析偏好异质性.
主要成果:
- 所有选择实验属性 (降低风险,延迟,成本) 都具有统计学意义.
- 亲密关系和就业情况在各国表现出同质的影响.
- 严重程度,风险组和疫苗接种状况表现出混合的结果,表明个体反应不同.
- 对选择实验属性的偏好比对个人/上下文变量的偏好更为异质.
结论:
- 个人经验和情境因素显著影响在流行病期间降低风险的偏好.
- 风险感知中的异质性可能导致公共卫生政策的估值扭曲.
- 了解这些变化对于设计有针对性和有效的风险减轻策略至关重要.
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