热带水 - 年间二氧化碳增长率越来越负
Laibao Liu1, Philippe Ciais2, Mengxi Wu3
1Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland. laibao.liu@env.ethz.ch.
Nature
|May 31, 2023
概括
不仅仅是温度,热带水资源也越来越多地控制着地球的碳循环. 这种转变影响了二氧化碳的去除和气候反预测,模型未能捕捉到这种加剧的水碳合.
科学领域:
- 地球系统科学
- 气候科学
- 生态学
背景情况:
- 陆地生态系统吸收大量人为二氧化碳排放.
- 由于碳气候反的不确定性,在气候变化下预测未来的土地碳汇行为具有挑战性.
- 大气二氧化碳增长率 (CGR) 的年间变化为陆地-大气碳流提供了洞察力,特别是在热带地区.
研究的目的:
- 调查热带气候条件和CGR之间的年际关系.
- 评估水的可用性与温度对CGR可变性的影响.
- 评估地球系统和陆地表面模型在模拟这些关系方面的表现.
主要方法:
- 全球大气二氧化碳数据的分析.
- 使用了陆地储水和降水记录.
- 将1960年至1989年和1989年至2018年之间的关系进行比较,以确定气候变化下的变化.
主要成果:
- 与1960-1989年相比,1989-2018年热带水供应与CGR之间的联系变得更加强大和负面.
- 这种加剧的合可能源于与厄尔尼诺/南方振荡转移相关的热带水供应模式的改变.
- 大多数先进的气候模型都无法准确地复制观察到的水碳合的强化.
结论:
- 热带水的可用性正在成为陆地碳循环年间变化的主要因素.
- 这些发现突出了热带陆地碳气候反的关键调节.
- 目前的模型需要改进以捕捉水,碳和气候之间的动态相互作用.
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