对喀麦隆家庭液化天然气需求弹性的分析以及政策影响
Flavian Emmanuel Sapnken1,2,3, Marius Tony Kibong1,2,3, Jean Gaston Tamba1,2,3
1Laboratory of Technologies and Applied Science, IUT Douala, University of Douala, PO Box 8698, Douala, Cameroon.
Heliyon
|June 1, 2023
概括
喀麦隆的液化石油气 (LPG) 消费受价格和收入的影响. 政策变化可以促进液化天然气的使用,减少森林砍伐和生物质依赖.
科学领域:
- 能源经济学 能源经济学
- 环境政策 环境政策
背景情况:
- 液化石油气 (LPG) 在喀麦隆的能源部门中越来越重要.
- 市场不确定性和供应短缺阻碍了喀麦隆家庭广泛采用液化天然气.
- 过度依赖生物质有助于森林砍伐.
研究的目的:
- 调查喀麦隆液化天然气消费的短期和长期弹性.
- 为了确定液化天然气消耗的关键决定因素.
- 为促进液化天然气作为主要家庭燃料的政策提供信息.
主要方法:
- 利用1994年至2017年的年度时间序列数据.
- 采用了基本的计量经济学模型和四个替代规范.
- 包括一个用于稳定性分析的纠错模型.
主要成果:
- 液化天然气消费的中期价格弹性范围从-0.330到-0.401.
- 液化天然气消费的中期收益弹性在0.159至0.569.9之间.
- 价格,收入和城市化被确定为液化天然气消费的重要决定因素.
结论:
- 错误纠正模型被证明是最强大的.
- 这些发现与类似发展中国家的研究一致.
- 需要采取政策干预措施来管理需求并促进液化天然气,特别是在萨凡纳地区,以减轻森林砍伐和生物质依赖.
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