在COVID-19危机下的环境和自然资源退化:流行病后的恢复
Jiaqi Li1, Yushan Li2, Ziqi Zheng3
1UNSW Business School, University of New South Wales (UNSW Sydney), Sydney, 2052, NSW, Australia.
概括
石油和煤炭租金对中高收入经济体的碳排放产生负面影响,而矿产租金没有显著影响. 经济增长和可再生能源也增加了碳排放,突出了复杂的环境挑战.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 能源政策 能源政策
背景情况:
- 在COVID-19封锁期间,由于工业活动减少,全球环境稳定暂时有所改善.
- 疫情后的环境退化再次出现,促使人们重新关注二氧化碳排放的决定因素.
- 高中收入经济体面临着越来越大的压力,需要平衡发展与环境可持续性.
研究的目的:
- 研究自然资源租金 (石油,矿物,煤炭) 与中高收入经济体的碳排放之间的关系.
- 分析经济增长和可再生能源消费对碳排放的影响.
- 为提高这些经济体的环境可持续性提供政策见解.
主要方法:
- 时间序列分析包括ADF,ADF-GLS,约翰森联合集成,FMOLS,DOLS和CCR.
- 格兰杰因果关系测试以确定变量之间的关系的方向.
- 使用量子回归和强大的回归分析进行稳定性检查.
主要成果:
- 石油和煤炭租金显著减少碳排放,而矿产租金没有统计学意义.
- 经济增长和可再生能源消费正面和显著增加碳排放.
- 自然资源租金 (不包括矿产租金),经济增长和可再生能源 格兰杰因二氧化碳排放而导致的二氧化碳排放,并观察到反效应.
结论:
- 高中等收入国家的政策应该考虑各种自然资源租金对碳排放的差异性影响.
- 可持续的经济增长和可再生能源的整合需要谨慎管理,以减轻相关的碳排放.
- 有针对性的政策干预是必要的,以解决资源开采,经济活动和环境质量之间的复杂相互作用.
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