气候灾害对国际贸易的影响:发达国家和发展中国家的证据
Fengyu Liu1, Vincent Tawiah2, Abdulrasheed Zakari3
1Fanli Business School, Nanyang Institute of Technology, NanYang, 473000, China.
Journal of environmental management
|June 5, 2023
概括
气候灾害大大促进了国际贸易,特别是对发展中国家的进口. 由于更好的准备,发达国家的影响较小,突出显示全球贸易不平等.
科学领域:
- 环境经济学环境经济学
- 国际贸易 国际贸易 国际贸易
- 气候变化的影响 气候变化的影响
背景情况:
- 气候灾害带来了重大的全球挑战和经济损失.
- 了解气候风险对国际贸易的影响对于经济政策至关重要.
- 发达国家和发展中国家在适应气候变化方面表现出不同的能力.
研究的目的:
- 研究气候灾害与国际贸易模式之间的关系.
- 分析气候风险对发达国家与发展中国家贸易的影响差异.
- 评估气候引起的贸易转移对全球经济公平的影响.
主要方法:
- 从2006年到2019年,对160个国家的大量样本进行了分析.
- 计量经济学建模,以评估气候灾害指数与国际贸易指标 (进出口占GDP的比例) 之间的关联.
- 使用不同的模型规格和可变测量进行强度检查.
主要成果:
- 气候灾害与国际贸易增加有积极的关联,进口占GDP的比例增加了约5.9%.
- 发展中国家在灾后的进口大幅增加 (6.7%),出口略有下降 (0.65%).
- 发达国家在进口方面没有显著变化,与出口的关联很弱,这归因于更好的准备和降低风险.
结论:
- 气候灾害导致国际贸易总体增加,主要是由于发展中国家的进口增加.
- 发达国家与发展中国家之间的贸易影响差异凸显了适应能力的差异.
- 研究结果表明,气候变化创造了有利于发达国家的贸易机会,加剧了气候不公正.
相关概念视频
What is Climate?
18.7K
Climate refers to the prevailing weather conditions in a specific area over an extended period. As the saying goes, “Climate is what you expect. Weather is what you get.” Climate is influenced by geographic factors, such as latitude, terrain, and proximity to bodies of water.
18.7K
Global Climate Change
24.6K
Throughout its ~4.5 billion year history, the Earth has experienced periods of warming and cooling. However, the current drastic increase in global temperatures is well outside of the Earth’s cyclic norms, and evidence for human-caused global climate change is compelling. Paleoclimatology, the study of ancient climate conditions, provides ample evidence for human-caused global climate change by comparing recent conditions with those in the past.
24.6K
Threats to Biodiversity
22.5K
There have been five major extinction events throughout geological history, resulting in the elimination of biodiversity, followed by a rebound of species that adapted to the new conditions. In the current geological epoch, the Holocene, there is a sixth extinction event in progress. This mass extinction has been attributed to human activities and is thus provisionally called the Anthropocene. In 2019 the human population reached 7.7 billion people and is projected to comprise 10 billion by...
22.5K
Applications of GIS: Disaster Management and Emergency Response
116
Geographic Information System (GIS) technology is essential for risk identification, action prioritization, and resource optimization in critical situations like flooding and earthquakes. By integrating spatial and demographic data, GIS provides a comprehensive framework for emergency response.GIS integrates data layers, like rainfall intensity, topography, elevation profiles, and river levels, to model high-risk flood zones. These layers assess areas susceptible to flooding based on their...
116
Ecological Disturbance
17.2K
An ecological disturbance is a temporary disruption in the environment resulting from abiotic, biotic, or anthropogenic factors, causing a pronounced change in an ecosystem. The impact of an ecological disturbance, which can depend on its intensity, frequency, and spatial distribution, plays a significant role in shaping the species diversity within the ecosystem.
17.2K
Responses to Drought and Flooding
10.8K
Water plays a significant role in the life cycle of plants. However, insufficient or excess of water can be detrimental and pose a serious threat to plants.
10.8K


