寄养机构的平均影响真的接近于零吗?
Sara Wakefield1, Christopher Wildeman2,3
1School of Criminal Justice, Rutgers University, Newark, NJ, USA.
Research on social work practice
|June 7, 2023
概括
这项研究挑战了寄养对儿童福利结果的平均影响最小的想法. 它认为科学共识是不确定的,平均效应很难确定.
科学领域:
- 儿童福利研究儿童福利研究
- 社会政策分析 社会政策分析
- 发展心理学是发展心理学.
背景情况:
- 讨论了关于儿童福利系统和寄养护理的现有研究成果.
- 巴斯及其同事的文章质疑托儿所对儿童长期成绩的影响.
- 这篇论文特别讨论了关于寄养对照看护儿童的平均因果影响微不足道的说法.
研究的目的:
- 质疑关于寄养家庭平均影响的说法的科学确定性.
- 突出方法论上的挑战,在定义适当的反事实,以养育研究.
- 探索效果异质性如何使近于零的儿童福利平均效应的解释变得复杂.
主要方法:
- 对现有关于寄养家庭和儿童结果的文献进行批判性分析.
- 检查儿童福利因果推理中的反事实概念.
- 探索统计学概念,如效果异质性.
主要成果:
- 科学对寄养家庭对儿童的平均影响的理解尚未最终确定.
- 对于寄养儿童来说,定义适当的反事实存在重大挑战.
- 接近零的平均效应并不一定意味着无关紧要的效应,因为儿童的影响各不相同.
结论:
- 寄养对儿童结果的影响需要更细致的科学研究.
- 对准确的儿童福利研究来说,定义反事实的方法论严谨性至关重要.
- 了解效果异质性是全面了解寄养家庭在儿童福祉中的作用的关键.
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