基于完全登记的人口统计的统计框架
Fabrizio Solari1, Antonella Bernardini1, Nicoletta Cibella1
1Population and Housing Census Division, Istat, Piazza Guglielmo Marconi 26/C, 00144 Rome, Italy.
概括
行政数据使人们能够从传统的人口普查转向基于登记的方法. 本研究为基于登记册的人口规模估计提供了一个统计框架,通过抽样调查提高了数据质量.
科学领域:
- 统计 统计 统计 统计
- 人口统计学 人口统计学
- 数据科学数据科学数据科学
背景情况:
- 行政数据档案的可用性越来越大.
- 从传统人口普查过渡到综合或基于登记的人口普查.
- 对于新的估计过程,需要强大的统计框架.
研究的目的:
- 设计一个基于登记的人口估计的统计框架.
- 解决使用行政数据进行人口普查的统计挑战.
- 通过使用行政数据来正式估计人口规模.
主要方法:
- 定义一个人口框架进行调查和估计.
- 实施质量评估的抽样调查.
- 开发基于行政数据的人口规模估计的正式化.
- 将框架应用于意大利的估计过程.
主要成果:
- 一个正式的统计框架,用于基于登记的人口估计.
- 使用意大利数据展示框架的应用.
- 在基于注册表的估计中确定关键的统计问题.
结论:
- 基于登记的估计是传统人口普查的可行替代方案.
- 抽样调查对于基于注册的系统的质量保证至关重要.
- 拟议的框架支持使用行政数据准确估计人口规模.
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