分析气候变化和人类活动对中国各地正常化差异植被指数的非线性贡献,使用局部加权回归方法
Chenhua Shen1,2,3, Rui Wu1,2
1College of Geographical Science, Nanjing Normal University, Nanjing, 210046, China.
Heliyon
|June 9, 2023
概括
中国的植被增长显著增加,主要是由人类活动和气候变化推动的. 了解这些非线性影响对于预测未来的植被动态和制定有效的保护战略至关重要.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 生态生态学 生态生态学
- 气候变化研究 气候变化研究
背景情况:
- 植被动态受气候变化和人类活动之间的复杂相互作用的影响.
- 植被生长的非线性反应,例如正常化差异植被指数 (NDVI) 的变化,需要详细分析.
- 了解这些非线性机制对于准确的生态预测和环境管理至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 分析气候变化和人类因素对NDVI的非线性贡献.
- 量化温度,降水和人类活动对植被生长轨迹的影响.
- 调查推动中国非线性植被反应的潜在机制.
主要方法:
- 使用月度时间表数据集来量化对NDVI的贡献.
- 使用局部加权回归方法来分析非线性关系.
- 气候变化 (温度,降雨) 和人类活动的评估贡献.
主要成果:
- 从2000年到2019年,中国81%的植被覆盖面增加了.
- 人类活动对NDVI的非线性贡献最大,其次是温度和降水.
- 观察到气候和人类对NDVI的影响的区域差异,并确定了负面趋势的特定驱动因素.
结论:
- 气候变化和人类活动的非线性影响显著影响中国的植被生长.
- 人为因素,包括土地利用变化和牧场,在推动NDVI动态方面发挥着主导作用.
- 了解这些非线性对于预测未来的植被反应和为环境政策提供信息至关重要.
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