参考样本的组成和大小对牙年龄区间估计的影响
Valerie Sgheiza1, Helen M Liversidge2
1Department of Anthropology, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Champaign, Illinois, USA.
American journal of biological anthropology
|June 9, 2023
概括
参考样本大小和性别显著影响牙科年龄估计的准确性. 根据祖先组合样本可以改善估计,这表明人口特异性是可靠确定儿童年龄的关键.
科学领域:
- 法医人类学 法医人类学
- 儿科牙科 儿科牙科
- 生物识别信息 生物识别信息
背景情况:
- 青少年牙年龄估计验证往往忽视了跨不同祖先群体的间隔性能.
- 关于参考样本组成如何影响年龄区间精度的研究有限.
研究的目的:
- 调查参考样本大小和组成 (性别,祖先) 对儿童牙年龄间隔估计的影响.
- 在不同的人口统计条件下评估年龄估计模型的性能.
主要方法:
- 利用了来自3334名伦敦儿童 (2-23岁) 的孟加拉和欧洲血统的牙科得分.
- 使用标准误差评估模型稳定性,并使用贝叶斯多变量累积试验和5倍交叉验证测试年龄估计性能.
- 多样化的参考样本大小,性别和祖先分层.
主要成果:
- 减少样本大小显著增加了标准错误,并对绩效指标产生了负面影响.
- 用不匹配的性别参考和目标样本估计年龄降低了成功率.
- 祖先组混合的效果比性别混合的效果要小,组合的祖先样本比较小的单一人口统计参考提供了可比或更好的结果.
结论:
- 参考样本大小和性别是牙科年龄估计表现的主要驱动因素.
- 根据祖先组合参考样本可以提高年龄估计的准确性,支持人口特异性,而不是广泛的人口统计假设.
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