在韩国使用机器学习开发护士营业额预测模型
Seong-Kwang Kim1, Eun-Joo Kim1, Hye-Kyeong Kim1
1Department of Nursing, Gangneung-Wonju National University, Wonju City 20403, Republic of Korea.
这项研究开发了一种机器学习模型,用于预测韩国护士的流动量. 随机森林模型实现了98.9%的准确性,确定工资是关键因素.
科学领域:
- 医疗保健管理的管理
- 在医疗保健中的数据科学.
- 护理劳动力研究 护理劳动力研究
背景情况:
- 护士轮流在韩国是一个重大挑战,影响了患者护理质量和医疗保健成本.
- 高的流动率需要积极的战略,以保持员工和劳动力稳定.
研究的目的:
- 开发和评估一种机器学习 (ML) 模型,用于预测韩国护士的流动量.
- 确定影响护士轮流决策的关键因素.
- 为医疗机构提供一个具有成本效益的工具来管理护理人员的保留.
主要方法:
- 对三个ML模型进行比较分析:决策树,后勤回归和随机森林.
- 开发和优化一个随机森林模型,用于预测护士轮流.
- 分析特征的重要性,以确定护士流动量的关键驱动因素.
主要成果:
- 随机森林模型表现出高的预测准确性,最初达到0.97.
- 优化随机森林模型提高了一年护士轮流预测的准确性到98.9%.
- 分析发现,薪水是影响护士轮流的最重要因素.
结论:
- 机器学习,特别是随机森林模型,为预测韩国护士周转率提供了一种高效且具有成本效益的方法.
- 开发的预测模型可以帮助医院和护理单位积极管理护士流动.
- 了解薪水等关键因素对于实施有针对性的保留策略至关重要.
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