休假计划的再就业溢价影响:在COVID-19危机期间评估西班牙的计划
J Garcia-Clemente1,2, N Rubino1,3, E Congregado1
1Department of Economics, Faculty of Business, University of Huelva, Plaza de la Merced 11, Huelva, 21002 Spain.
概括
西班牙的COVID-19休假计划显著促进了短期休假的重新就业. 较长的休假时间对求职者产生了较小但积极的影响.
科学领域:
- 劳动经济学 劳动经济学
- 公共政策分析 公共政策分析
- 计量经济学 计量经济学
背景情况:
- 由于COVID-19大流行,造成了广泛的失业.
- 休假计划是作为减轻失业的政策反应而实施的.
- 了解这些计划的有效性对于经济稳定至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 分析西班牙休假计划对再就业的平均治疗效应.
- 量化休假时间对重新就业概率的影响.
- 评估该计划在应对经济冲击方面的实用性.
主要方法:
- 利用了2020年西班牙季度劳动力微数据.
- 构建了一个非休假,失业人士的反事实群体.
- 根据预处理特征应用的倾向性得分匹配.
主要成果:
- 休假领取者在接下来的季度出现重新就业的可能性明显更高.
- 一个季度的休假导致重新就业溢价约为30个百分点.
- 一个四分之二的休假计划产生了较小的积极影响 (约12个百分点).
结论:
- 西班牙的休假政策实际上提高了再就业率,特别是短期.
- 该政策是管理暂时经济衰退的宝贵工具.
- 在长时间的经济衰退期间,更长的休假计划可能效果不佳.
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