使用生态度数据探索多站点试验中跨站点影响变异的来源
David R Judkins1, Gabriel Durham2
1Abt Associates, Bethesda, MD, USA.
Evaluation review
|June 12, 2023
概括
本研究引入了改进的方法来分析多站点随机试验,使用学生级数据来衡量调解因素和混因素,提高社会经济干预的推断质量.
科学领域:
- 计量经济学 计量经济学 计量经济学
- 因果推理因果推理
- 项目评估 项目评估
背景情况:
- 2003年Bloom,Hill和Riccio (BHR) 的论文提供了分析多站点随机试验中的站点级调解者的基本方法.
- 现有的方法通常依赖于集成的现场级数据,这可能会限制精度并引入偏差.
研究的目的:
- 通过将学生级数据用于调解者和混者测量来增强分析多站点随机试验的方法.
- 提高社会经济干预评估中因果推断的准确性和稳定性.
主要方法:
- 开发了新的统计方法,利用学生层面的数据来估计站点层面的调解器和混器.
- 采用非对称的行为分析,模拟和经验应用来评估方法性能.
- 检查了偏差,平均平方误差和信任区间覆盖范围的调度系数估计.
主要成果:
- 模拟表明,提出的方法通常会提高推断质量,即使没有混.
- 对健康职业机会补助计划 (HPOG) 的实证分析显示了显著的调解效应.
- 计划平均全日制同等价值 (FTE) 学习的月份按月六个介绍职业发展和学位的收到.
结论:
- 拟议的学生级数据方法为课程评估中的BHR样式分析提供了强大的方法.
- 这些方法提高了在多地点试验中估计调解效应的精度和可靠性.
- 来自HPOG计划的发现表明了这些增强分析技术的实际实用性.
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