环保技术能否帮助中国到2060年实现碳中和目标? 在中国进行的一项基于不对称的研究
Zhanar Nurgazina1, Qingbin Guo2, Uzair Ali1
1School of Economics, Hainan University, Haikou, 570228, China.
概括
中国的碳中和计划并没有有效改善生态状况. 对能源部门和新技术的投资可能会损害环境,只有污染处理投资显示出积极的生态影响.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 气候政策 气候政策
背景情况:
- 由于气候变化,各国正在制定碳中和目标.
- 中国的目标是到2060年实现碳中和,并实施各种环境倡议.
- 评估这些措施的有效性对于生态可持续性至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 评估中国环境政策对生态改善的影响.
- 确定旨在减少二氧化碳和增强碳汇的措施的长期有效性.
主要方法:
- 使用了从2008年/Q1到2021年/Q4.4的季度数据.
- 应用了非线性自回归分布式滞后 (NARDL) 方法.
- 分析了投资,专利和特定技术对环境的影响.
主要成果:
- 减少二氧化碳排放的措施没有达到其预期目的.
- 高速铁路和新能源汽车没有长期的环境效益.
- 对能源部门和低碳来源的投资可能会破坏环境;只有污染处理投资才能改善生态条件.
结论:
- 中国目前的碳中和战略需要大幅修订.
- 针对环境污染处理的有针对性的投资对于生态改善至关重要.
- 为了实现真正的环境可持续性,需要进行政策调整.
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