在COVID-19危机期间,供应链系统中的风险溢出网络:来自中国的证据
概括
这项研究揭示了COVID-19供应链风险从下游传播到上游,由金融行业放大. 政策干预可以减轻这些显著的,随时间变化的风险溢出影响.
科学领域:
- 供应链管理 供应链管理
- 金融风险分析 金融风险分析
- 流行病的经济影响
背景情况:
- COVID-19危机严重扰乱了全球经济和供应链.
- 之前的研究重点是跨行业风险溢出效应,而不是供应链内部的动态.
- 了解供应链漏洞对于经济性至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 在COVID-19危机期间,专门调查供应链系统内的风险溢出效应.
- 分析供应链各级 (下游,中游,上游) 风险传播的方向和放大.
- 评估金融行业在加剧供应链风险溢出影响方面的作用.
主要方法:
- 开发和模拟基于代理的模型,以假设风险传播.
- 经验验证使用合条件风险值 (CoVaR) 模型进行验证.
- 在COVID-19危机期间分析来自中国的数据.
主要成果:
- 风险传播主要从下游流向上游流动,在每个阶段都会发生放大.
- 金融行业作为中游,上游和下游行业之间的风险溢出效应的重要放大器.
- 确定了风险溢出效应的显著时间变化的特征,表明了动态传播模式.
结论:
- 供应链风险溢出影响是复杂的,定向的,并由金融联系放大.
- 政策干预措施在减轻不利风险溢出效应方面显示出潜在的有效性.
- 为管理供应链风险和告知监管策略提供理论和经验基础.
相关概念视频
Infection
8.3K
When a pathogen enters the body and reproduces, it can cause an infection, damage body cells, and cause illness symptoms that eventually lead to disease. Therefore, its prevention requires breaking the chain of infection.
The chain begins with pathogens: bacteria, viruses, fungi, prions, or parasites such as protozoa helminths. These can be present on the skin as transient or resident flora, or they can be acquired from the environment. Identifying and treating the type of infection and...
The chain begins with pathogens: bacteria, viruses, fungi, prions, or parasites such as protozoa helminths. These can be present on the skin as transient or resident flora, or they can be acquired from the environment. Identifying and treating the type of infection and...
8.3K
Factors Affecting the Risk of Infection
12.0K
The hosts' susceptibility to infection depends on several factors. The integrity of the skin and mucous membranes helps protect the body against microbial attacks. When the skin is altered, the chance of infection, limb loss, and even death increases.
The integrity and count of the white blood cells help the body resist pathogens and fight infection. When impaired, it reduces the body's resistance to pathogens. The acidic pH levels of the gastrointestinal, genitourinary tracts, and skin...
The integrity and count of the white blood cells help the body resist pathogens and fight infection. When impaired, it reduces the body's resistance to pathogens. The acidic pH levels of the gastrointestinal, genitourinary tracts, and skin...
12.0K
Steps in Outbreak Investigation
155
In the ever-evolving field of public health, statistical analysis serves as a cornerstone for understanding and managing disease outbreaks. By leveraging various statistical tools, health professionals can predict potential outbreaks, analyze ongoing situations, and devise effective responses to mitigate impact. For that to happen, there are a few possible stages of the analysis:
155
Single Nucleotide Polymorphisms-SNPs
15.3K
A single nucleotide polymorphism or SNP is a single nucleotide variation at a specific genomic position in a large population. It is the most prevalent type of sequence variation found in the human genome. Point mutations that occur in more than 1% of the population qualify as SNPs. These are present once every 1000 nucleotides on an average in the human genome. Replacement of a purine with another purine (A/G) or a pyrimidine with another pyrimidine (C/T) is known as a transition. In contrast,...
15.3K
Viral Recombination
23.6K
Cells are sometimes infected by more than one virus at once. When two viruses disassemble to expose their genomes for replication in the same cell, similar regions of their genomes can pair together and exchange sequences in a process called recombination. Alternatively, viruses with segmented genomes can swap segments in a process called reassortment.
23.6K
Global Regulatory Systems
45
Global regulatory systems in bacteria enable rapid and coordinated responses to environmental changes by integrating sensory inputs with gene expression, ensuring efficient adaptation to fluctuating conditions. Key global regulatory mechanisms include regulons, two-component systems, sigma factors, and secondary messengers.Regulons and Global RegulatorsA regulon is a collection of genes and operons controlled by a common global regulator. These regulators enable bacteria to prioritize resource...
45


