同时的信心带方法用于比较COVID-19病例数量
1Department of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Toledo, Toledo, OH 43606 USA.
Statistics in biosciences
|June 14, 2023
概括
这项研究分析了俄俄州老年人的COVID-19病例数量,发现男性和女性的日常病例有显著差异. 先进的统计方法可以解释疾病的传播和变化的趋势.
科学领域:
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 生物统计学 生物统计学
- 时间序列分析时间序列分析
背景情况:
- 随着COVID-19大流行,全球出现了混乱,人们对病例数量的人口差异提出了疑问.
- 分析每日COVID-19病例需要处理相关数据和因变种和疫苗接种等事件而产生的非线性趋势的方法.
研究的目的:
- 为了确定老年人中男性和女性之间的每日COVID-19病例数量是否存在显著差异.
- 为了解决分析时间序列流行病学数据的传统统计测试的局限性.
主要方法:
- 在时间序列分析中采用了同时使用的信心带方法.
- 用B-spline估计来构建自回归移动平均模型趋势的信心带.
- 该方法应用于2020年4月至2022年3月俄俄州老年人 (≥60岁) 的每日COVID-19病例数据.
主要成果:
- 在男性和女性老年人之间的每日COVID-19病例数量中发现了统计学上显著的差异.
- 在对人口规模进行调整后,在95%的置信水平下,差异是显著的.
结论:
- 该研究表明,俄俄州的老年人中,COVID-19病例数量存在显著的性别差异.
- 应用的统计方法有效地分析复杂的流行病学时间序列数据与不断变化的趋势.
更多相关视频
07:08A Rapid, Multiplex Dual Reporter IgG and IgM SARS-CoV-2 Neutralization Assay for a Multiplexed Bead-Based Flow Analysis System
Published on: April 6, 2021
5.1K
07:54Two-Step Reverse Transcription Droplet Digital PCR Protocols for SARS-CoV-2 Detection and Quantification
Published on: March 31, 2021
4.7K
相关概念视频
Confidence Intervals
6.7K
An unbiased point estimate is often insufficient to predict a population estimate, such as population mean or population proportion. In this scenario, a confidence interval is used. A confidence interval is an estimate similar to a sample proportion. However, unlike the point estimate which is a single value, the confidence interval contains a range of values. These values have lower and upper limits, known as confidence limits, and can be designated as L1 and L2, respectively.
A...
A...
6.7K
Interpretation of Confidence Intervals
6.1K
A confidence interval is a better estimate of the population than a point estimate, as it uses a range of values from a sample instead of a single value.
Confidence intervals have confidence coefficients that are crucial for their interpretation. The most common confidence coefficients are 0.90, 0.95, and 0.99, which can be written as percentages–90%, 95%, and 99%, respectively.
Suppose a person calculates a confidence interval with a confidence coefficient of 0.95. In that case, they can...
Confidence intervals have confidence coefficients that are crucial for their interpretation. The most common confidence coefficients are 0.90, 0.95, and 0.99, which can be written as percentages–90%, 95%, and 99%, respectively.
Suppose a person calculates a confidence interval with a confidence coefficient of 0.95. In that case, they can...
6.1K
Confidence Interval for Estimating Population Mean
7.7K
A point estimate of the population mean is obtained from a single sample. Such a point estimate does not represent a population well because it needs to account for variability in the population. Single point estimate can also be biased despite the sample being selected randomly. Thus, a point estimate is often unreliable. A confidence interval is needed to reduce this unreliability.
A confidence interval for the mean is a range of values that provides an estimate of the population mean. As the...
A confidence interval for the mean is a range of values that provides an estimate of the population mean. As the...
7.7K
Uncertainty: Confidence Intervals
4.2K
The confidence interval is the range of values around the mean that contains the true mean. It is expressed as a probability percentage. The interpretation of a 95% confidence interval, for instance, is that the statistician is 95% confident that the true mean falls within the interval. The upper and lower limits of this range are known as confidence limits. The confidence limits for the true mean are estimated from the sample's mean, the standard deviation, and the statistical factor...
4.2K
Pareto Chart
6.8K
A Pareto chart is a bar graph or a combination of both line and bar graphs. The bar lengths represent the individual values or the frequency, while the lines represent the cumulative total values. In this chart, the longest bars are arranged on the left and the shortest bars on the right, which makes it easier to read and interpret the data. It can also be called a Pareto diagram or Pareto analysis.
The Pareto chart is named after the Italian economist Vilfredo Pareto, who described the Pareto...
The Pareto chart is named after the Italian economist Vilfredo Pareto, who described the Pareto...
6.8K
Confidence Coefficient
7.7K
The confidence coefficient is also known as the confidence level or degree of confidence. It is the percent expression for the probability, 1-α, that the confidence interval contains the true population parameter assuming that the confidence interval is obtained after sufficient unbiased sampling; for example, if the CL = 90%, then in 90 out of 100 samples the interval estimate will enclose the true population parameter. Here α is the area under the curve, distributed equally under...
7.7K
