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在工业时代的伦敦生存率和第二次流行病学转型
Samantha L Yaussy1, Sharon N DeWitte2, Gail Hughes-Morey3
1Department of Sociology and Anthropology, James Madison University, Harrisonburg, Virginia, USA.
American journal of biological anthropology
|June 15, 2023
概括
伦敦的成年生存率在工业化之前低于工业化期间. 骨数据显示,第二次流行病学过渡之前的生存率有所改善,支持其在历史人口学研究中的使用.
科学领域:
- 古人类学 (paleodemography) 是一种古人类学.
- 历史流行病学 历史流行病学
- 生物考古学的生物考古学
背景情况:
- 第二个流行病学转变标志着从传染性疾病转向非传染性疾病,与人口变化有关.
- 在英国工业革命之前,关于死亡原因的历史数据很少.
- 骨架数据为人口趋势提供了一个代理,有助于研究流行病学转型.
研究的目的:
- 研究伦敦工业化前后的成年生存率差异.
- 评估骨数据在理解第二次流行病学转型背景中的有用性.
主要方法:
- 在伦敦墓地 (公元1569-1853年左右) 的924名成年人的骨数据分析.
- 在工业化前和工业化时期之间,成人死亡年龄的比较.
- 卡普兰-梅尔生存分析,以评估生存趋势.
主要成果:
- 在工业化前时期 (公元1569年至1669年和1670年至1739年) 观察到,成年人生存率明显较低.
- 在工业化时期 (公元1740年至1853年) 幸存率明显提高.
- 结果显示,生存率差异的p值<0.001.
结论:
- 这些发现与18世纪末伦敦改善生存率的历史证据一致.
- 这项研究支持使用骨人口统计数据来重建第二次流行病学过渡.
- 这种方法提供了对过去人口健康和死亡率模式的见解.
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