评估英国脱欧和COVID-19对英国经济的影响:数据分析
Raghav Gupta1, Md Mahadi Hasan2, Syed Zahurul Islam3
1Cardiff School of Technologies, Cardiff Metropolitan University, Cardiff, United Kingdom.
PloS one
|June 15, 2023
概括
英国脱欧和COVID-19对英国经济产生了重大影响,导致贸易下降和区域差异. 虽然2021年失业率上升,但金融和医疗等一些行业显示出增长,这表明经济弹性有所不同.
科学领域:
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 宏观经济分析 的分析.
- 英国经济政策 英国经济政策
背景情况:
- 英国经济面临着前所未有的挑战,原因是英国脱欧和COVID-19流行病的综合影响.
- 这些事件给全国各地的企业和个人带来了重大不确定性和破坏.
- 现有的学术文献强调了立即研究这些相互交织的经济影响的必要性.
研究的目的:
- 在英国脱欧和COVID-19期间,调查影响英国各行业的关键经济因素.
- 分析这些事件对英国宏观经济格局的更广泛的经济影响.
- 评估不同时期和地区对失业率,GDP指数,收入和贸易的影响.
主要方法:
- 利用了一系列数据分析技术,包括Box-Jenkins方法和神经网络建模.
- 整合了谷歌趋势分析和推特情绪分析,以衡量公众和市场情绪.
- 分析了不同时期的数据:英国脱欧前 (2011-2016),英国脱欧 (2016-2020),COVID-19和英国脱欧后 (2020-2021).
主要成果:
- 失业率下降到2020年,在2021年升;总收入显示逐渐增加;GDP增长到2020年,然后下降.
- 贸易经历了英国脱欧和COVID-19后最显著的下降,威尔士和北爱尔兰受到影响最大.
- 金融,科学和卫生等行业的GDP贡献增加,而住房和建筑业受到严重打击;对男性的影响更为明显.
结论:
- 英国面临着需求超过供应的宏观经济动态,导致2021年初的短缺和通货膨胀.
- 经济影响在英国各地区和各行业之间差异很大,贸易是受影响最严重的变量.
- 调查结果为政府和企业提供了有价值的见解,以适应,创新和促进长期经济增长.
相关概念视频
Steps in Outbreak Investigation
155
In the ever-evolving field of public health, statistical analysis serves as a cornerstone for understanding and managing disease outbreaks. By leveraging various statistical tools, health professionals can predict potential outbreaks, analyze ongoing situations, and devise effective responses to mitigate impact. For that to happen, there are a few possible stages of the analysis:
155
Statistical Methods for Analyzing Epidemiological Data
427
Epidemiological data primarily involves information on specific populations' occurrence, distribution, and determinants of health and diseases. This data is crucial for understanding disease patterns and impacts, aiding public health decision-making and disease prevention strategies. The analysis of epidemiological data employs various statistical methods to interpret health-related data effectively. Here are some commonly used methods:
427
Residuals and Least-Squares Property
7.4K
The vertical distance between the actual value of y and the estimated value of y. In other words, it measures the vertical distance between the actual data point and the predicted point on the line
If the observed data point lies above the line, the residual is positive, and the line underestimates the actual data value for y. If the observed data point lies below the line, the residual is negative, and the line overestimates the actual data value for y.
The process of fitting the best-fit...
If the observed data point lies above the line, the residual is positive, and the line underestimates the actual data value for y. If the observed data point lies below the line, the residual is negative, and the line overestimates the actual data value for y.
The process of fitting the best-fit...
7.4K
Econometric Views (EViews)
180
Econometric Views, often stylized as EViews, is a package that merges statistical analysis with econometric studies. It is designed to provide tools for time series analysis, forecasting, and econometric model simulation. The software originated from MicroTSP software and has evolved significantly since its inception in 1981. The history of EViews is marked by a continuous effort to enhance its computational speed and user interface. It was initially developed for large computing systems but...
180
Pareto Chart
6.8K
A Pareto chart is a bar graph or a combination of both line and bar graphs. The bar lengths represent the individual values or the frequency, while the lines represent the cumulative total values. In this chart, the longest bars are arranged on the left and the shortest bars on the right, which makes it easier to read and interpret the data. It can also be called a Pareto diagram or Pareto analysis.
The Pareto chart is named after the Italian economist Vilfredo Pareto, who described the Pareto...
The Pareto chart is named after the Italian economist Vilfredo Pareto, who described the Pareto...
6.8K
Pie Chart
14.2K
A pie chart (or a pie graph) is a circular graphical chart or a pictorial representation of categorical data. It is divided into slices of pie each indicating numerical proportions. It is also used to show the relative sizes of data in a single chart.
In a pie chart, the central angle, the arc length of each slice, and the area are directly proportional to the quantity or percentage it represents. Some real-world examples that can be depicted using pie charts include marks obtained by students...
In a pie chart, the central angle, the arc length of each slice, and the area are directly proportional to the quantity or percentage it represents. Some real-world examples that can be depicted using pie charts include marks obtained by students...
14.2K


