在诊断结直肠多体后,阿司匹林的目标试验仿真
Louise Emilsson1,2,3,4, Mingyang Song5,6,7, Jonas F Ludvigsson8,9,10
1Department of General Practice, Institute of Health and Society, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway. louise.emilsson@medisin.uio.no.
European journal of epidemiology
|June 15, 2023
概括
片切除后使用阿司匹林可能会在10年内将结直肠癌 (CRC) 发病率降低2%. 然而,它没有影响CRC死亡率,并且与所有原因死亡率增加4%有关.
科学领域:
- 胃肠病学 胃肠病学
- 在瘤学瘤学.
- 预防医学 预防医学
背景情况:
- 关于阿司匹林对结直肠癌 (CRC) 的化学保护作用,存在相互矛盾的证据.
- 之前的研究对阿司匹林在CRC预防中的作用产生了不一致的结果.
研究的目的:
- 模拟一项临床试验,研究在多片被去除后,在个体中开始服用阿司匹林.
- 评估阿司匹林对结直肠癌发病率,死亡率和全因死亡率的影响.
主要方法:
- 分析了瑞典 (年龄在45-79岁之间) 发生的息肉个体的全国性队列.
- 逆概率权重被用来模拟一个目标试验的阿司匹林启动在两个多检测的几年内.
- 结果包括CRC发病率,CRC死亡率和所有原因死亡率,记录到2019年.
主要成果:
- 在31,633名符合条件的个体中,5%的人开始服用阿司匹林后诊断.
- 阿司匹林发起者显示,10年累计CRC发病率为6%,而非发起者为8% (HR:0.88).
- 在不同组中,CRC死亡率相似 (HR:0.90),而在阿司匹林发起者中,全因死亡率更高 (HR:1.18).
结论:
- 片切除后开始服用阿司匹林与10年CRC累计发病率的适度降低2%有关.
- 阿司匹林没有显著改变结肠直肠癌死亡率.
- 在开始服用阿司匹林的人群中,观察到所有原因死亡的风险差异增加了4%.
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