全球粮食消费的变化增加了温室气体排放,尽管全球供应链的效率提高了
Yanxian Li1, Honglin Zhong2,3, Yuli Shan4
1Integrated Research on Energy, Environment and Society (IREES), Energy and Sustainability Research Institute Groningen (ESRIG), University of Groningen, Groningen, the Netherlands.
Nature food
|June 15, 2023
概括
全球粮食消费推动了大量的温室气体 (GHG) 排放,特别是来自发展中国家的牛肉和乳制品. 减少排放需要转移消费者和生产者的选择远离排放密集型食品.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 气候变化研究 气候变化研究
- 农业经济学 农业经济学
背景情况:
- 来自食品消费的温室气体 (GHG) 排放对于了解全球气候影响至关重要.
- 基于消费的账户捕捉了通过国际贸易的排放泄漏,补充了基于生产的数据.
研究的目的:
- 评估2000年至2019年全球基于消费的食品排放量.
- 确定这些排放变化的关键驱动因素.
主要方法:
- 利用物理贸易流方法来追踪排放.
- 采用结构分解分析来确定排放驱动因素.
主要成果:
- 2019年,食品供应链占人为温室气体排放量的30%±9%.
- 发展中国家的牛肉和乳制品消费显著增加了排放量,而发达国家的人均排放量却下降了.
- 国际食品贸易,特别是牛肉和油作物,由于发展中国家的进口推动,排放量增加了约1Gt的二氧化碳当量.
结论:
- 人口增长和人均需求增加是导致全球粮食排放量上升的主要原因.
- 从土地利用活动中减少的排放强度部分抵消了排放增长.
- 气候变化缓解战略应侧重于鼓励转向低排放密集型食品.
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