制定一个认罪决策模型:模糊追踪理论,要点和分类界限
Tina M Zottoli1, Rebecca K Helm2, Vanessa A Edkins3
1Department of Psychology, Montclair State University.
Law and human behavior
|June 16, 2023
概括
被告的认罪决定受到广泛类别的定罪概率和判决差异的影响,而不仅仅是细节. 这项研究引入了一种新的模型,用于理解认罪谈判的结果.
科学领域:
- 心理学 心理学 心理学
- 法律和法律研究.
- 决策科学科学 决策科学
背景情况:
- 传统的辩护谈判研究通常依赖于"审判的影子" (SOT) 模型来解释被告的选择.
- 本研究引入了一个替代的框架,以了解诉讼理由的决策.
研究的目的:
- 提出和测试基于模糊追踪理论 (FTT) 的控诉决策的新概念模型.
- 检查定罪概率和句子区别的分类变化如何影响辩护选择.
- 为了比较FTT模型与SOT模型在解释诉讼结果方面的有效性.
主要方法:
- 进行了三项基于图片的实验,共有4031名机械土耳其参与者.
- 在研究中操纵了定罪概率,潜在的审判判决和认罪折扣.
- 测量了参与者的最高可接受的辩护判决和辩护接受率.
主要成果:
- 辩护决定受到定罪概率和句子区别的有意义,分类变化的影响,而不是细微的差异.
- 最多可接受的辩护判决和辩护率与这些类别分类相一致.
- 调查结果提供了各种实验条件下的预期诉讼率的见解.
结论:
- 结果支持基于模糊追踪理论 (FTT) 的诉讼决策的新概念模型.
- 与SOT模型相比,FTT模型为案件级别的诉讼结果变化提供了潜在的更好的解释.
- 建议进行进一步的研究,将FTT模型扩展到不同的环境中.
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