一项研究和开发投资战略,以实现巴黎气候协议
Lara Aleluia Reis1, Zoi Vrontisi2, Elena Verdolini3,4
1RFF-CMCC European Institute of Economics and the Environment, Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change, Milan, Italy. Lara.aleluia@eiee.org.
Nature communications
|June 16, 2023
概括
对低碳技术的研发投资对于气候稳定至关重要. 增加研发投资可以降低减缓成本并创造就业机会,碳收入可能为这种创新提供资金.
科学领域:
- 气候科学 气候科学
- 能源政策 能源政策
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
背景情况:
- 气候稳定需要广泛采用低碳技术,其中许多技术尚未可扩展或具有成本效益.
- 目前的气候中立性评估往往忽视了研究驱动的创新的影响.
- 政府对研发 (R&D) 的激励措施对于技术进步至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 分析研发投资途径,以实现气候稳定.
- 为必要的研发投资提出一个融资方案.
- 评估低碳技术的研发对经济和就业的影响.
主要方法:
- 整合两个评估模型来模拟研发投资场景.
- 专注于五个关键的低碳技术和能源效率措施.
- 分析利用碳收入的融资机制.
主要成果:
- 对低碳技术的及时研发投资降低了整体减缓成本.
- 达到2°C需要在本世纪中叶之前全球累积低碳研发投资增加18%;1.5°C需要增加64%.
- 研究和开发投资产生了积极的就业效应.
结论:
- 碳收入可以充分为气候稳定增加的研发需求提供资金.
- 利用碳收入为研发提供资金并减少扭曲税收,可以增加就业机会和经济效益.
- 将研发创新纳入气候政策评估对于有效的气候行动至关重要.
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