森林生物质和依赖森林的野生动物种群的保护:模型参数的不确定性量化
Ibrahim M Fanuel1,2, Silas Mirau1, Damian Kajunguri3
1Department of Applied Mathematics and Computational Science, Nelson Mandela African Institution of Science and Technology, Arusha, Tanzania.
Heliyon
|June 19, 2023
概括
人口增长和人类活动威胁着森林生态系统和野生动物. 数学建模表明,经济激励和技术可以帮助保护,但影响有限,人类因素是最有影响力的.
科学领域:
- 生态生态学 生态生态学
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 数学生物学 数学生物学
背景情况:
- 人口和活动的不断增加导致了生态系统的挑战.
- 森林生物质退化减少了森林面积,并通过增加竞争威胁到野生动物的生存.
- 森林和野生动物保护在人类人口动态中至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 开发和分析森林和野生动物保护的非线性数学模型.
- 评估经济激励对减少人口对森林资源压力的影响.
- 评估技术努力在加速植树复林的好处.
主要方法:
- 开发和分析一个非线性数学模型.
- 对保护因素的定性和定量分析.
- 灵敏度分析以确定有影响力的参数.
主要成果:
- 经济和技术因素显示了资源保护的潜力.
- 这些保护工作的适用性有限,可能会破坏系统的稳定.
- 人口,活动,经济措施和技术是关键的影响因素.
结论:
- 虽然经济和技术干预可以支持保护,但它们的有效性有限.
- 不可持续的人口增长和活动对森林生态系统构成重大威胁.
- 有效的保护战略必须解决人类人口动态和相关活动.
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