基于心血管疾病队列生存机器学习分析事件的分类
Shokh Mukhtar Ahmad1,2, Nawzad Muhammed Ahmed3
1Department of Statistics and Informatics, College of Administration and Economics, Sulaymaniyah University, Sulaymaniyah, Kurdistan, Iraq. shokh.mukhtar@komar.edu.iq.
BMC cardiovascular disorders
|June 20, 2023
概括
监督学习模型有效地预测心血管病患者的结果,即使是治愈的部分. 随机森林在预测患者生存状态方面表现最好.
科学领域:
- 心脏病学 心脏病学
- 生物统计学 生物统计学
- 机器学习 机器学习
背景情况:
- 心血管疾病对健康造成重大负担.
- 预测患者的结果对于有效的治疗策略至关重要.
- 使用治愈分数的生存分析提出了独特的建模挑战.
研究的目的:
- 评估监督学习分类模型,用于预测心血管患者的结果.
- 在这个群体中确定最有效的机器学习算法用于生存分析.
- 评估化分量的存在和对预测准确性的影响.
主要方法:
- 在最多650天的时间内,对919名心血管患者的队列进行了分析.
- 进行了生存分析,证实了显著的治愈分数 (P < 0.01).
- 应用了各种机器学习算法,包括随机森林,SVM,后勤和简单回归,用于预测患者状态 (活/死).
主要成果:
- 随机森林展示了最高的整体预测性能,ROC曲线下的面积 (AUC) 为0.934.
- 支持矢量机 (SVM) 在已故患者中显示较低的假阳性率 (0.263).
- 后勤和简单回归模型也产生了强的结果,AUC分别为0.911和0.909.
结论:
- 监督学习模型是有效的预测结果在心血管患者治疗的部分.
- 随机森林是预测整体存活率的一个有希望的方法,尽管SVM在识别死亡病例方面表现出色.
- 机器学习为提高临床心脏病学中患者结果预测提供了有价值的工具.
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