针对性最大概率估计在公共卫生和流行病学研究中的应用:系统性审查
Matthew J Smith1, Rachael V Phillips2, Miguel Angel Luque-Fernandez3
1Inequalities in Cancer Outcomes Network, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Annals of epidemiology
|June 21, 2023
概括
目标最大概率估计 (TMLE) 为因果推理提供了一个强大的统计框架. 它的采用在全球各个流行病学领域迅速增长,这是由方法学的进步和可获得的资源所推动的.
科学领域:
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 生物统计学 生物统计学
- 机器学习 机器学习
背景情况:
- 目标最大概率估计 (TMLE) 是一个统计框架,集成机器学习,统计理论和推理.
- 它提供了一个强大的策略来估计和推断统计和因果参数,以最小的偏差和高效率.
研究的目的:
- 描述和评估TMLE的流行病学应用.
- 评估最近的方法发展对TMLE在流行病学中的应用的影响.
主要方法:
- 在观察性研究中对TMLE应用的系统文献综述通过PubMed.
- 使用目标学习和因果推理路线图提取关键的方法方面.
- 流行病学学科的总结,地理分布,作者专业知识和TMLE方法随着时间的推移.
主要成果:
- 包括89个出版物;33%来自加州大学伯克利分校,这是框架的起源.
- 到2022年,59%的出版物来自美国以外,涵盖多达七个流行病学科.
- 采用TMLE的关键动机包括双重稳定性,偏差减少和处理模型错误规范.
结论:
- 在流行病学学科和地理区域中,TMLE正在广泛传播.
- 有R包,教程和专家参与的可用性推动了TMLE的采用.
- 方法的发展导致TMLE研究的指数增长.
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