在全国代表性样本中预测枪支所有权的潜在报告不足情况
Allison E Bond1,2, Aleksandr T Karnick3, Daniel W Capron3
1The New Jersey Gun Violence Research Center, Rutgers University, Newark, USA. ab2242@psych.rutgers.edu.
Social psychiatry and psychiatric epidemiology
|June 23, 2023
概括
研究人员确定了可能低于报告枪支所有权的个人子组. 这一发现有助于理解枪支所有权,并针对预防伤害的安全信息.
科学领域:
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 社会科学 社会科学 社会科学
背景情况:
- 准确的枪支所有权数据对于公共卫生倡议至关重要.
- 对枪支所有权的低报告可能会扭曲研究结果和干预策略.
- 了解与枪支所有权相关的人口统计学和人际关系因素至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 为了确定与低报告枪支所有权相关的人口统计和个人内部变量.
- 为了确定低于报告枪支所有权的个人是否可以分为不同的子组.
- 为了提高美国枪支所有权估计的准确性.
主要方法:
- 利用零膨胀负二项式 (ZINB) 回归来模型枪支所有权报告不足.
- 采用隐性类别分析来识别低于报告所有权的个人中的子组.
- 将参与者数据 (N=3500) 与人口统计变量2010年美国人口普查数据进行匹配.
主要成果:
- 确定了1306名参与者 (37.3%) 没有充分报告枪支所有权.
- 隐性类别分析显示,在报告不足的人口中,有三个不同的子组.
- 人口统计和人际关系变量是枪支所有权报告不足的重要预测因素.
结论:
- 识别低于报告枪支所有权的个人可以提高对美国枪支人口统计的理解.
- 这些发现使得更有针对性地向有风险的枪支所有者发送安全存储信息.
- 提高枪支所有权数据的准确性可以导致更有效的伤害预防策略.
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