一个六重的城市设计框架来评估气候适应力:在牙买加Negril的产生性转型,牙买加
Tapan Kumar Dhar1, Luna Khirfan2
1School of Urban Planning, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada.
PloS one
|June 23, 2023
概括
城市地区面临气候变化的不确定性,阻碍了适应. 这项研究引入了一个建立城市弹性框架,表明生成转型是长湾 (牙买加) 等沿海地区适应气候不确定性的关键.
科学领域:
- 城市规划和设计
- 适应气候变化 适应气候变化
- 弹性研究 弹性研究
背景情况:
- 气候变化的不确定性阻碍了有效的城市适应战略,特别是在微观规模.
- 城市形式,包括街道,建筑和土地使用,显著影响城市的性.
- 像牙买加长湾这样的沿海地区面临着城市化和气候变化风险的复合风险,特别是海平面上升.
研究的目的:
- 提出一个六重的城市设计框架,以评估和增强城市形式对气候变化的适应力.
- 将这个框架应用于牙买加长湾,以评估当前的适应战略.
- 为了确定更有效的方法,以加强面对气候不确定性的城市弹性.
主要方法:
- 开发一个六重的城市设计框架.
- 框架对牙买加长湾的应用.
- 通过与专业人士和发展行为者进行19次深入采访,收集经验数据.
- 在现场观察和形态分析.
主要成果:
- 长湾目前的适应策略优先考虑"反弹"弹性,重点关注极端事件而不是缓慢发生的变化.
- 现有的战略支持目前的旅游驱动型发展,但忽视了增量和转型适应的潜力.
- 长湾的城市形式具有固有的能力,用于产生转型,目前被忽视.
结论:
- 生成型城市形态转型为管理气候不确定性提供了比反应性反弹策略更强大的方法.
- 牙买加的长湾可以通过接受适应性城市形式变化来显著提高其性.
- 拟议的框架为评估和改善全球脆弱沿海地区的城市弹性提供了有价值的工具.
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