在RCEP成员国之间人民币汇率的溢出效应:来自时间频域方法的实证证据
1School of Economics, Yunnan University of Finance and Economics, Kunming, Yunnan Province, China.
PloS one
|June 23, 2023
概括
人民币 (人民币) 汇率对区域全面经济伙伴关系 (RCEP) 货币产生重大影响,作为短期的净接收者和长期的发射者. 重大事件会放大这些溢出效应.
科学领域:
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 国际金融 国际金融
- 计量经济学 计量经济学
背景情况:
- 区域全面经济伙伴关系 (RCEP) 是一个重要的贸易集团.
- 了解货币溢出效应对于经济稳定至关重要.
- 人民币 (人民币) 在RCEP地区发挥着关键作用.
研究的目的:
- 调查人民币汇率在RCEP成员国内的溢出效应.
- 分析这些溢出效应的频率依赖性.
- 检查经济和政治事件如何影响人民币溢出动态.
主要方法:
- 时间频率域分析.
- 利用2010年8月至2022年8月的每日汇率数据.
- 调查时间变化的溢出效应.
主要成果:
- RCEP货币表现出显著的,主要是短期的,相互作用和波动性.
- 人民币的影响显示频率异质性:净接收器短期,净发射器长期.
- 国内改革和外部冲击放大了人民币的净溢出效应.
结论:
- 人民币汇率是RCEP内货币动态的一个关键驱动因素.
- 溢出效应是随时间变化的,对内部和外部因素都很敏感.
- 政策干预和全球事件需要仔细监测人民币汇率的影响.
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