复杂系统的弹性盆地:对未来消费者对电网的影响的应用
Samuel Bien1,2,3,4, Paul Schultz5, Jobst Heitzig6
1Institute of Environmental Science and Geography, Potsdam University, 14469 Potsdam, Germany.
Chaos (Woodbury, N.Y.)
|June 23, 2023
概括
我们引入了一个新的框架来衡量系统的弹性,量化系统可以承受干扰的程度. 这种方法表明线路升级在电网中比家用电池提供更大的弹性.
科学领域:
- 系统动力学系统动力学
- 电气工程 电气工程
- 复杂系统分析 复杂系统分析
背景情况:
- 传统的弹性措施侧重于恢复速度.
- 现有的方法通常将状态空间位移视为干扰.
- 电网面临着像前期消费者这样的分散能源带来的新挑战.
研究的目的:
- 提出一个新的,广泛适用的框架来量化系统弹性.
- 评估应对复杂影响的弹性,而不仅仅是状态空间的移动.
- 为了比较电网升级与家庭电池在提高弹性方面的有效性.
主要方法:
- 开发了一个弹性测量框架,估计了一个"弹性盆地".
- 将框架应用于单节点电力系统和随机低压直流电网模型.
- 模拟了前消费者的影响,并评估了应对策略 (线路升级,电池存储).
主要成果:
- 线路升级为能源分散提供了潜在的无限弹性.
- 家庭电池提供有限的弹性,最多达到70%的线路升级效率.
- 该框架确定了适应性增强战略的最佳预算拨款.
结论:
- 拟议的弹性框架提供了一个对传统稳定性指标的补充方法.
- 电网基础设施的改进比局部电池存储更有效地提高了对分散的长期弹性.
- 该框架有助于优化对弹性能源系统的投资.
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