地震风险评估和热点优先级:一个发展中国家的观点
Rehan Asad1, Muhammad Qaiser Saleem1, Muhammad Salman Habib1
1Department of Industrial and Manufacturing Engineering, Faculty of Mechanical Engineering, University of Engineering and Technology, Lahore, 54890 Pakistan.
概括
本研究介绍了一种地震风险评估方法,以优先考虑发展中国家的灾害管理. 它量化了损害,伤亡和经济损失等影响,帮助资源有限的社区.
科学领域:
- 灾害管理 灾害管理
- 地震学 地震学
- 风险评估 风险评估
背景情况:
- 自然灾害越来越多地威胁着人类的生存,经济增长和可持续发展.
- 地震造成重大破坏,特别是在资源有限和反应性灾害管理的发展中国家.
- 不有效的资源管理和缺乏统一的行动计划阻碍了灾难应对和恢复工作.
研究的目的:
- 提出一种用于识别地震风险热点和优先考虑灾前和灾后管理行动的方法.
- 专注于发展中国家在管理地震影响方面所面临的具体挑战.
- 为明智决策提供量化风险评估框架.
主要方法:
- 进行彻底的地震风险评估.
- 开发一种方法来对各种场景进行快速风险评估.
- 量化影响,包括物质损害,伤亡,经济损失和住所需求.
主要成果:
- 该方法允许对各种灾害场景进行快速定量风险评估.
- 确定有针对性的灾前和灾后管理干预的热点.
- 提供物理损失,伤亡,经济损失,流离失所的家庭,碎片,庇护所需求和医院功能估计.
结论:
- 开发的方法作为政府机构,紧急组织和援助国家的决策支持工具.
- 它有助于制定政策和计划,以提高资源有限的环境中社区的弹性.
- 根据定量影响估计优先考虑行动,最大限度地提高灾害管理工作的有效性.
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