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结构性信贷风险模型由莱维过程驱动,在骑士不确定性下
Zhenyu Tang1, Bin Zhong1, Liang Zhou2
1Gannan University of science and technology, Jiangxi University of science and technology, Ganzhou, 341000 JiangXi China.
概括
这项研究引入了一个新的信用风险模型,用于计算骑士不确定性,超越了传统的几何布朗运动. 它为莱维市场的默认和股票价值提供了一个动态的定价框架.
科学领域:
- 量化金融 量化金融
- 金融风险管理 金融风险管理
背景情况:
- 传统的信用风险模型假设风险资产价值遵循几何布朗运动.
- 现实世界资产价值表现出非连续的跳跃扩散行为,使骑士不确定性难以用单一的概率措施量化.
研究的目的:
- 在Lévy市场框架内分析结构性信用风险模型,并将骑士不确定性纳入其中.
- 在这些条件下,为违约概率,股票价值和债券价值开发动态定价模型.
主要方法:
- 利用Lévy-Laplace指数来构建一个动态定价模型.
- 为价值过程推导出明确的解决方案,假设跳跃过程的日志常态分布.
主要成果:
- 为违约概率,股票价值和债券价值建立了价格区间.
- 数字分析表明,骑士不确定性对定价违约和股票价值产生重大影响.
结论:
- 建议的Lévy市场模式有效地将骑士不确定性纳入信用风险定价.
- 调查结果强调了为准确的金融市场估值,需要考虑非连续资产动态和骑士不确定性.
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