评估危机时期的财政乘数:来自中东欧国家选定的证据
Bogdan Muraraşu1, Cristina Anghelescu2, Robert Adrian Grecu2
1Department of Money and Banking, Bucharest University of Economic Studies, 5-7 Moxa Street, 010961 Bucharest, Romania.
概括
财政措施有效地缓解了COVID-19的风险.
科学领域:
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 公共财政是公共财政.
- 国际经济学 国际经济学
背景情况:
- 由于COVID-19的流行,全球发生了严重的社会经济危机.
- 当局实施了迅速的财政反应,以应对经济损失.
- 关于大流行病的长期经济演变,仍存在不确定性.
研究的目的:
- 在COVID-19危机期间评估中欧和东欧国家财政措施的有效性.
- 分析支出侧与收入侧财政政策的影响差异.
- 调查危机时期财政乘数的动态.
主要方法:
- 分析中欧和东欧国家政府实施的财政政策措施.
- 应用一个时间变化的参数模型来估计财政乘数.
- 对支出和收入方面的政策影响进行比较评估.
主要成果:
- 支出侧的财政措施表现出比收入侧的措施更强大的积极影响.
- 调查发现,在危机期间,财政乘数显著上升.
- 该研究提供了关于财政干预措施有效性的经验证据.
结论:
- 财政政策,特别是以支出为重点的干预措施,在缓解COVID-19大流行的经济后果方面发挥了关键作用.
- 调查结果强调了财政乘数在经济危机期间的重要性和有效性的提高.
- 目前的地缘政治事件,包括乌克兰的战争和能源危机,需要持续的财政支持,这些发现的信息.
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