温暖的气温和宿主树的丰富性解释了绿枯的方向传播的变化
Samuel F Ward1, John J Riggins1
1Department of Biochemistry, Molecular Biology, Entomology, and Plant Pathology, Mississippi State University, Starkville, MS 39762 USA.
概括
破坏性森林害虫,不均地传播,在南部和西部方向的入侵速度更快. 了解这种由宿主可用性和气候驱动的异型传播,是管理入侵物种的关键.
科学领域:
- 生态生态学 生态生态学
- 侵入性物种 生物学 生物学
- 森林科学 森林科学 森林科学
背景情况:
- 侵入性物种的传播对它们的生态影响至关重要.
- 侵袭速度预测通常假定持续扩散,这可能是不准确的.
- 了解扩散的时空变化对于有效管理至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 为了调查树枯在北美蔓延的速度和驱动因素.
- 为了评估花枯入侵的异构性 (方向变化).
- 改进对入侵性森林害虫的预测和管理策略.
主要方法:
- 使用了三个标准方法:有效范围半径,距离回归和边界位移.
- 分析了方向扩散 (异向性) 以确定模式和影响因素.
- 评估了传播模式,宿主可用性和气候条件之间的关系.
主要成果:
- 平均年差率在每年24至40公里之间.
- 侵袭速度高度异型,达到~100公里/年南,~80公里/年西,和~50公里/年北.
- 南部和西部的传播与红树的丰富和更高的温度有关.
结论:
- 侵袭速度不是恒定的,并且根据方向有很大的变化.
- 息地的适宜性,包括宿主的可用性和气候,强烈影响着异型生物的传播.
- 息地适宜性建模可以预测新入侵者迅速扩散的地区.
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