颠覆机会叙述:在不确定性和危机时代导航转型
Michele-Lee Moore1,2, Lauren Hermanus3, Scott Drimie4,5
1Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden.
概括
COVID-19危机加剧了不平等,但也为变革性变革创造了机会. 非洲的变革代理人应对经济冲击和饥饿等挑战,在工作中面临新的不确定性.
科学领域:
- 社会科学 社会科学 社会科学
- 发展研究 发展研究 研究
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
背景情况:
- COVID-19加剧了社会生态不平等,包括饥饿和贫困.
- 疫情的破坏引发了关于其作为转型变革催化剂的潜力的问题.
研究的目的:
- 在COVID-19大流行期间检查六个非洲国家的变革代理人的经验.
- 了解危机,代理和转型在复杂系统中如何相互作用.
主要方法:
- 定性研究探索变化代理人对变化的条件和COVID-19反应的导航.
- 经济衰退,饥饿和基于性别的暴力的记录影响.
- 确定了新出现的不确定性和变革代理人的战略.
主要成果:
- 针对COVID-19的反应重新塑造了转型性变革的机会环境.
- 主要影响包括经济不稳定,饥饿增加和基于性别的暴力.
- 出现了四种类型的不确定性:系统稳定性,扩展性,犹/耗尽性和监控效应.
结论:
- 危机和政策反应为转型努力创造了新的不确定性.
- 变革代理商制定了应对这些复杂挑战的策略.
- 这些不确定性为转化研究提供了新的理论途径.
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