交通事故模式的变化:在佛罗里达州COVID-19爆发之前和之后
Jaeyoung Lee1, Haiyan Liu2, Mohamed Abdel-Aty3
1School of Traffic and Transportation Engineering, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan 410075, China; Department of Civil, Environmental, and Construction Engineering, University of Central Florida, Orlando, FL 32816, United States.
Accident; analysis and prevention
|June 26, 2023
概括
随着COVID-19的流行,交通事故总数显著减少了14%,特别是在高峰时段,但致命事故仍然没有变化. 这项研究分析了佛罗里达州的撞车模式和导致因素.
科学领域:
- 运输科学 运输科学
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
背景情况:
- COVID-19 疫情造成了前所未有的全球性破坏,影响了日常生活,工作和交通.
- 初步研究表明,疫情爆发后的流动性,旅行行为和道路安全发生了重大变化.
研究的目的:
- 在COVID-19大流行期间调查交通事故模式的变化.
- 确定导致这些碰撞模式变化的因素.
- 分析佛罗里达州各县这些变化的异质性.
主要方法:
- 收集了2019年和2020年的COVID-19病例,交通事故,社会经济因素和交通量数据.
- 利用两个统计模型来分析影响事故百分比和数量的因素.
- 对交通量和其他人口,社会经济和旅行变量进行控制.
主要成果:
- 疫情爆发后,交通事故总数下降了14%,即使控制了交通量.
- 观察到高峰时段发生事故的显著减少 (22%).
- 根据发生时间和伤害严重程度的撞车事故比例显示出实质性的变化;致命撞车事故没有显著下降.
结论:
- COVID-19大流行改变了交通事故的动态,总体减少,但严重程度和时间发生了显著变化.
- 了解这些转变对于调整运输规划和管理策略至关重要.
- 调查结果为在未来的流行病情景中提高交通安全提供了见解.
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