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ENSO和当地条件的复杂相互作用缓冲了在亚热带海景中迁徙鱼类向极移动的缓冲
Sabrina Radunz Vollrath1, Susanne E Tanner2, Patrick Reis-Santos3
1Laboratório de Ictiologia, Universidade Federal do Rio Grande (FURG), Av. Itália s/n - km 8 - Carreiros, Rio Grande, Brazil.
The Science of the total environment
|June 26, 2023
概括
海洋变暖推动了鱼类迁徙,但厄尔尼诺南方振荡 (ENSO) 对热带化的影响尚不清楚. 这项研究发现,在亚热带水域的白色鱼中,有复杂的相互作用,而不是简单的热带化.
科学领域:
- 海洋生物学 海洋生物学
- 气候变化生态学 气候变化生态学
- 渔业科学 渔业科学
背景情况:
- 海洋变暖正在导致热带鱼类迁移到更高的度.
- 厄尔尼诺南方振荡 (ENSO) 对这一热带化的影响尚不清楚.
- 准确的预测模型需要了解影响鱼类分布的全球和当地因素.
研究的目的:
- 调查海洋变暖,ENSO和当地环境变化如何影响白 (Mugil curema) 的丰富性.
- 分析这些影响在大西洋西南部亚热带度的热带鱼类物种.
- 了解塑造气候变化下的物种分布的复杂相互作用.
主要方法:
- 利用了从1996年8月到2020年2月的长期时间序列数据.
- 在河口和海洋地区进行每月标准化采样.
- 采用了通用添加模型来分析物种丰度和环境因素之间的关系.
主要成果:
- 表面水温的显著上升趋势被观察到.
- 与预期相反,没有发现白色子丰富的增加趋势.
- 在物种丰富度和ENSO,淡水排放,温度和盐度之间确定了复杂的非线性关系.
结论:
- 鱼类对全球气候变化的反应是多方面的和复杂的.
- 全球和地方因素的相互作用可以减轻预期的热带化效应.
- 预测物种的反应需要考虑环境变化的多个尺度.
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