中国的低碳城市试点政策的异质影响
Jing Lyu1, Tianle Liu2, Bofeng Cai3
1Interdisciplinary Programs, Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Kowloon, Hong Kong, China; Jiangmen Laboratory of Carbon Science and Technology, Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Jiangmen, 529000, China.
Journal of environmental management
|June 28, 2023
概括
中国的低碳城市试点 (LCCP) 政策显著减少了总和人均碳排放. 然而,每GDP的排放量减少是微不足道的,影响因试点批量而异,可能是由于碳泄漏.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 气候政策 气候政策
- 城市研究 城市研究
背景情况:
- 包括中国在内的全球南方国家面临着平衡经济增长与减少碳排放的压力.
- 中国的低碳城市试点 (LCCP) 倡议是国家主导的,自愿的政策干预国家低碳发展的典范.
研究的目的:
- 评估中国LCCP政策在减少碳排放方面的有效性.
- 分析LCCP在不同实施批次的时间变化的影响.
主要方法:
- 利用了从2005年至2019年的331个中国城市的面板数据.
- 采用批量分解和合成差异模型来评估政策影响.
- 对总碳排放,人均排放和GDP单位排放的政策影响进行了审查.
主要成果:
- LCCP显著减少了总碳排放量和人均排放量.
- 没有观察到每单位GDP的碳排放量有显著减少.
- 在三批LCCP中,政策的有效性各不相同,后期批次显示减少甚至负面影响,可能是由于碳泄漏.
结论:
- 中国的LCCP政策表明,中国有能力降低总体和人均排放量,但难以将排放与经济增长脱.
- 在LCCP批次中观察到的变化和潜在的碳泄漏突出了实施有效的气候政策的复杂性.
- 该研究为评估发展中国家的环境和气候变化政策提供了新的定量证据和计量经济学方法.
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